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May 15, 2009
Comparing Democratic vote share with personal freedom
So the Democrats are the party of personal freedom while the Republicans want to meddle in your personal life? Check out this graph:
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Personal Freedom, by State, State and Local Public Policies in the United States, Freedom in the 50 States: Index of Personal and Economic Freedom
I have long been skeptical that the Democrats deliver on their promises of personal freedom, but I'm quite surprised that the relationship is negative. I'm more impressed by how little variation is explained by the Democratic vote share than how much is explained by it. It isn't that the Democrats are the party of personal fascism as much as they are a party that appears to be a big tent when it comes to personal freedom.
Update:
The actual data (Download replication data for Freedom in the 50 States here.) seems to have a few variables I'd describe as economic freedoms rather social ones such as tax credits, right to work, and teacher licensing, but the majority seem to be about personal freedom (drugs, prostitution, gambling, stuff like that). I'll put the fields under the fold.
“Low-level” cultivation a misdemeanor? (1=yes, 0=no)
“Low-level” marijuana possession legal? (1=yes, 0=no)
Aggravated gambling is a felony (1=yes, 0=no)
Arrests for victimless crimes (age 18 and over) as ratio of all arrests
Arrests for victimless crimes per 100,000 population, age 18 and over
Asset forfeiture index
Auto liability insurance required? (1=yes, 0=no)
Bans on financial incentives to providers to withhold covered care? (=1 if yes, =0 if no)
Beer tax rates (dollars per gallon, ad valorem rates added under assumption of 10 per gallon)
Betting on greyhound or horse racing legalized? (=1 if statewide, =0.5 if local option, =0 if no)
Bicycle helmet law exists? (1=yes, 0=no)
Blood Test Required (=1 if yes, 0 if no)
Cable Deregulation Index (1-0.5*fccr)*(fclsifc-0.1*fcpbsr)
Casino gambling legalized? (=1 if statewide, =0.5 if local option, =0 if none: note that only state law is coded, not law applicable to sovereign Indian tribes)
Charitable gaming permitted? (=1 if yes, =0 if no)
Cigarette tax per pack of 20, including maximum local taxes, in dollars
COBRA continuation coverage expanded to firms with less than twenty employees? (=1 if yes, =0.5 if employers have option of continuation or conversion, =0 if no)
Compulsory school age, lower bound
Compulsory school age, upper bound
Deregulation Retail Sales of Natural Gas(=0 if no unbundling, =1 if partial unbundling, =2 if unbundling)
Does state have its own occupational safety and health agency? (1=yes, 0.5=for public employees only, 0=no)
Eminent domain reform index ((mreform+mprivate+mblight)*(1+(0.5*mconst)))
Endangered Species Act Statutes Animals Plants (=0 if no act or statute, =1 if act or statute, but only in regard to animals, =2 if act or statute in regard to both animals and plants)
Existence of state-mandated wind or beach insurance pool (1=yes, 0=no)
Express prohibition on Internet gambling? (1=yes, 0=no)
Extent of homeschool recordkeeping requirements (=2 if teaching materials/record of instruction, =1 if attendance, =0 if none)
Extent of private school curriculum control (=2 if detailed, =1 if general, =0 if none)
First offense of “high-level” marijuana possession a misdemeanor? (1=yes, 0=no)
First offense of “low-level” marijuana possession decriminalized? (1=yes, 0=misdemeanor, 2=fully legal)
For states with higher than federal minimum wage: (Gminraw/Gearnpc)*10; '0' otherwise
General right-to-work law? 1=yes, 0=no
Happy hour law? (1=yes, 0.5=locally, 0=no)
Health insurance mandates index (hmdindex+hmpindex+hmbindex)
High-risk health insurance pool? (=1 if yes, =0.5 if only for HIPAA-qualified, =0 if no)
Homeschooling explicitly permitted by statute? (=1 if yes, =0 if no, must use alternative options)
Homeschooling notification index (ehsnotf*ehsnote)
Index of corporate PAC regulation, candidate contributions=tcorpac*tpacconc*.00001
Index of corporate PAC regulation, party contributions=tcorpac*tpacconp*.00001
Index of grassroots PAC regulation, candidate contributions=tindpac*tpacconc*.00001
Index of grassroots PAC regulation, party contributions=tindpac*tpacconp*.00001
Individual health insurance: elimination riders banned? (1=yes, 0=no)
Individual market rate restrictions (3=pure community rating, 2.5=community rating with exceptions for some plans, 2=adjusted community rating, 1=age or health rating bands, 0.5=other rating bands, 0=none)
Kindergarten attendance required? (=1 if yes, =0 if no)
Licensing Index (sum of all variables)
Licensing of Health Plan Medical Directors (=1 if yes, =0 if no)
Limits on individual contributions to legislative candidates, per election year, in dollars (50,000 if no limit)
Limits on individual contributions to political parties, per election year, in dollars (200,000 if no limit)
Mandated external review for certain types of grievances? (=1 if yes, =0 if no)
Mandates direct access to providers? (=1 if yes, =0 if no)
Mandatory alcoholic beverage server training law (1=yes, 0=no)
Mandatory group conversion coverage for small firm employees? (=2 if yes and rating limits, =1 if yes and no rating limits, =0.5 if either continuation or conversion coverage must be offered, =0 if no)
Mandatory minimums for “low-level” marijuana cultivation or sale (not including special penalties for minor sales)? (if yes, number of years, 0 if no)
Mandatory registration of private schools? (=1 if yes, =0.5 if yes with broad exemptions, =0 if no)
Mandatory state approval or accreditation of private schools? (=1 if yes, =0.5 if yes with broad exemptions, =0 if no)
Mandatory state licensure of private school teachers? (=1 if yes, =0.5 if yes with broad exemptions, =0 if no)
Maximum possible prison term for any single marijuana offense, in years
Medical marijuana exception? (1=yes, 0.5=partial, 0=no)
Motorcycle helmet law covering all drivers? (1=yes, 0=no)
Open container law for automobile drivers or passengers? (1=yes, 0=no)
Pari-mutuel wagering legalized? (=1 if yes, =0 if no)
Personal injury protection (auto insurance) required? (1=yes, 0=no)
Physician-assisted suicide legalized? (=1 if yes, =0 if no)
Prevailing wage law? 1=yes, 0=no
Prostitution legalization local option? (1=yes, 0=no)
Public financing index=(tfullpub+(0.5*tpartpub)+(0.5*tpfpps))/(1+ttaxadd)
Ranking of State Liability Systems: “SCORE” (see source; higher scores indicate less tortious systems)
Raw milk sales legal for human consumption? (1=yes, 0=no)
Regulations for "smoker protection" in employment? (=1 if yes and insurance discrimination banned, =0.5 if yes but insurance discrimination or incentives to stop smoking allowed, =0 if no)
Regulations on Internet purchases? (=1 if yes, =0 if no or minimal)
Regulations on vending machines (=1 if banned, =0.5 if location restrictions, =0 if age restrictions only)
Regulatory Takings Prohibitions (=1 if yes)
Required subjects/curriculum for homeschoolers? (=2 if curriculum must be approved, =1 if subjects required, =0 if none)
Residuals of OLS regression of rincarc on rviol and rprop (Stata 9.0)
Residuals of OLS regression of rpolice on rviol (Stata 9.0)
Same-sex civil union, marriage, or domestic partnership (=1 if sstmrrge>0)
Short-term disability insurance required? 1=yes, 0=no
Slot games legal? (=1 if yes, =0 if no)
Small group health insurance market rate restrictions (3=pure community rating, 2=adjusted community rating, 1=rate bands, 0=no rating restrictions)
Smart Growth Plan (=1 if yes)
Smoking Ban - Bars (=1 if total or near-total, =0.5 if designated areas or local option or standalone bars only exempt, =0 if generally not banned, =0.75 for VA: no smoking areas are allowed in bars with 75+ capacity)
Smoking Ban - Private Workplaces (=1 if total, =0.75 if few exceptions, =0.5 if numerous exceptions/designated areas/local option, =0.25 if minimal regulation, =0 if no regulation)
Smoking Ban - Public Places (=1 if total or near-total, =0.5 if numerous exceptions/designated areas/local option, =0 if few or none)
Smoking Ban - Restaurants (=1 if total or near-total, =0.5 if segregated areas sometimes required or local option, =0 if no or few regulations, =0.75 for VA: no smoking areas allowed in restaurants with at least 50-person capacity, =0.25 for PA: nonsmoking areas required only for restaurants with at least 75-person capacity)
Sobriety checkpoints authorized? (1=yes, 0=no)
Social gambling allowed? (1=yes, 0=no)
Spirits tax rate (dollars per gallon of spirits, ad valorem rates added under assumption of 50 per gallon)
Standardized testing or other official evaluation required? (=2 if annual, =1 if periodic, =0 if none)
Standing referrals to specialists mandated? (=1 if yes, =0 if no)
State Wetland Program (=1 if yes)
State Wetland Regulatory Protection Statutes (=1 if yes)
Statewide ban on handheld cell phones? (1=yes, 0=no)
Statewide beer keg registration requirement, or kegs banned (1=yes, 0=no, 2=all kegs banned)
Strength of State Planning Role (=1 if weak, =2 if significant, =3 if substantial)
Tax credit/deduction law? (=2 if for parents, =1 if for donations to scholarship funds only, =0 if none)
Teacher qualifications required? (=1 if some qualifications required under all homeschooling options, =0 if some homeschooling options do not require teaching qualifications)
Telecommunication Deregulation (=1 if deregulation legislation passed and signed)
Total waiting period (slwp+slwp2)
Wine tax rate (dollars per gallon of wine, less than 14% alcohol by volume, ad valorem rates added under assumption of 50 per gallon)
Posted by OneEyedMan at May 15, 2009 8:07 AM
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