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November 15, 2005
Bayesian Social Science
Bayes' theorem tells us that the probability of a random event A occurring given that we know a related event B occurred is the probability of both happening divided by the probability of B happening.
Or:
This little theorem has revolutionized modern statistics and created a near holy war between the traditionalist classical statisticians and the Bayesian statisticians. Some even consider it a philosophy for daily life.
Some have claimed that it is unemployment or the upbringing and not Islam that motivates French rioters. The clever economists over at Stumbling and Mumbling discuss how we can use a Bayesian techniques to peak into the French rioters' motivations.
Posted by OneEyedMan at November 15, 2005 2:50 PM
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